Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue MARKET PULSE
Athletics vs. San Diego PadresHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
86% 44.5pp
24h volume
$328.6K
Orrery Pulse82% current39-82% 7D range+31.5pp net move
89%75%60%45%31%
82%
May 2482%+31.5pp from start
May 18May 19May 20May 21May 22May 23May 23May 24
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?UMA PENDING
High
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?UMA PENDING
High
High
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red SoxUMA PENDING
High
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue JaysUMA PENDING
High
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?UMA DISPUTED
High
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersUMA PENDING
High
Houston Astros vs. Chicago CubsUMA PENDING
High
New York Mets vs. Miami MarlinsUMA PENDING
High
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real MadridUMA PENDING
High
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24?UMA PENDING
High
High
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesUMA PENDING
High
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City RoyalsUMA PENDING
High
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore OriolesUMA PENDING
High
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
High
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-24?UMA PENDING
High
Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5UMA PENDING
High
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-24?UMA PENDING
High
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24?UMA PENDING
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 95/93 94/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 92 | 95/88 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 90 | 95/82 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 89 | 95/79 94/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 89 | 95/90 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 24, 2026
Read full brief - US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? probability down 78.8pp on $1.3M of 24h volume.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Thunder vs. Spurs resolves in 3h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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