Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
10 markets in this event family · $65.5K 24h volume · $345.7K liquidity. Share the URL anywhere — the rich preview card shows the cluster's biggest mover with one glance.
$65.5K
10 markets · liq $347.0K
0.1pp
Mean |24h move|
0
Markets ≥5pp 24h
$0.00
0 trades ≥$5k
0
Active UMA dispute / pending
0
Settlement positioning risk
Top mover · 24h
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?All markets in this cluster
10Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Vol $37.0K · Liq $202.2K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Vol $0.00 · Liq $0.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?
Vol $0.00 · Liq $0.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Vol $0.00 · Liq $0.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Vol $23.6K · Liq $74.1K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
Vol $0.00 · Liq $0.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
Vol $0.00 · Liq $0.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Vol $4.9K · Liq $70.8K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
Vol $0.00 · Liq $0.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Vol $0.00 · Liq $0.00
| Market | Prob | Δ24h | Vol | Liq |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | 3¢ | +0.4 | $37.0K | $202.2K |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? | 0¢ | -0.3 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31? | 0¢ | -0.2 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? | 0¢ | -0.1 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | 11¢ | 0.0 | $23.6K | $74.1K |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15? | 0¢ | 0.0 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22? | 0¢ | 0.0 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | 18¢ | 0.0 | $4.9K | $70.8K |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | 0¢ | 0.0 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | 0¢ | 0.0 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
About this event
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730 , including both the chart and downloadable files.