GPT-6 released by…?
10 markets in this event family · $16.3K 24h volume · $56.0K liquidity. Share the URL anywhere — the rich preview card shows the cluster's biggest mover with one glance.
$16.3K
10 markets · liq $55.1K
1.8pp
Mean |24h move|
1
Markets ≥5pp 24h
$0.00
0 trades ≥$5k
0
Active UMA dispute / pending
0
Settlement positioning risk
All markets in this cluster
10Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Vol $7.8K · Liq $13.9K
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
Vol $3.9K · Liq $7.4K
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Vol $287.31 · Liq $11.6K
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?
Vol $2.9K · Liq $9.8K
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?
Vol $0.00 · Liq $0.00
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?
Vol $0.00 · Liq $0.00
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Vol $0.00 · Liq $0.00
Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?
Vol $0.00 · Liq $0.00
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?
Vol $0.00 · Liq $0.00
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?
Vol $1.3K · Liq $12.4K
| Market | Prob | Δ24h | Vol | Liq |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | 43¢ | -13.5 | $7.8K | $13.9K |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? | 11¢ | -2.0 | $3.9K | $7.4K |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | 84¢ | -1.5 | $287.31 | $11.6K |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | 2¢ | -0.4 | $2.9K | $9.8K |
| Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026? | 0¢ | +0.3 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31? | 0¢ | -0.2 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? | 0¢ | -0.1 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? | 0¢ | -0.1 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? | 0¢ | -0.1 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? | 0¢ | 0.0 | $1.3K | $12.4K |
About this event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.