Iran leadership change by...?
14 markets in this event family · $18.4K 24h volume · $709.5K liquidity. Share the URL anywhere — the rich preview card shows the cluster's biggest mover with one glance.
$18.4K
14 markets · liq $706.3K
0.2pp
Mean |24h move|
0
Markets ≥5pp 24h
$0.00
0 trades ≥$5k
0
Active UMA dispute / pending
0
Settlement positioning risk
All markets in this cluster
14Iran leadership change by November 30?
Vol $1.5K · Liq $43.7K
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Vol $0.00 · Liq $0.00
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Vol $0.00 · Liq $0.00
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Vol $526.47 · Liq $50.1K
Iran leadership change by July 31?
Vol $0.00 · Liq $0.00
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Vol $0.00 · Liq $0.00
Iran leadership change by August 31?
Vol $3.1K · Liq $119.9K
Iran leadership change by August 15?
Vol $0.00 · Liq $23.8K
Iran leadership change by August 22?
Vol $4.2K · Liq $36.4K
Iran leadership change by September 30?
Vol $2.6K · Liq $134.3K
Iran leadership change by October 31?
Vol $133.94 · Liq $45.5K
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Vol $0.00 · Liq $0.00
+2 more in this event
| Market | Prob | Δ24h | Vol | Liq |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | 12¢ | -1.0 | $1.5K | $43.7K |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | 0¢ | -0.7 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | 0¢ | -0.5 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | 27¢ | +0.5 | $526.47 | $50.1K |
| Iran leadership change by July 31? | 0¢ | -0.2 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | 0¢ | -0.2 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? | 2¢ | -0.1 | $3.1K | $119.9K |
| Iran leadership change by August 15? | 0¢ | -0.1 | $0.00 | $23.8K |
| Iran leadership change by August 22? | 1¢ | -0.1 | $4.2K | $36.4K |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? | 6¢ | 0.0 | $2.6K | $134.3K |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | 10¢ | 0.0 | $133.94 | $45.5K |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | 0¢ | 0.0 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
+2 more markets in this event
About this event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.