BrazilOct 4, 2026advancing 3 · declining 3

24h volume

$1.3K

30 markets · liq $447.3K

Avg volatility

0.2pp

Mean |24h move|

Top movers

Markets ≥5pp 24h

Large-trade flow

$0.00

0 trades ≥$5k

Source-risk

Active UMA dispute / pending

Resolving <24h

Settlement positioning risk

Top mover · 24h

Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

67¢+2.9pp 24hVol $484.11 · Liq $33.7K

All markets in this cluster

Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

67¢+2.9

Vol $484.11 · Liq $33.7K

Will Patrus Ananias win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

4¢-0.9

Vol $0.00 · Liq $25.2K

Will Flávio Roscoe win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

4¢-0.9

Vol $38.97 · Liq $21.4K

Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

1¢-0.6

Vol $804.91 · Liq $30.8K

Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

10¢+0.1

Vol $0.00 · Liq $24.0K

Will Gleidson Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

0¢+0.1

Vol $0.00 · Liq $12.7K

Will Nikolas Ferreira win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

0¢0.0

Vol $0.00 · Liq $30.9K

Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

8¢0.0

Vol $0.00 · Liq $23.4K

Will Tadeu Leite win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

0¢0.0

Vol $0.00 · Liq $32.4K

Will Aécio Neves win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

0¢0.0

Vol $0.00 · Liq $33.0K

Will Alexandre Silveira win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

0¢0.0

Vol $0.00 · Liq $31.1K

Will Gabriel Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

1¢0.0

Vol $0.00 · Liq $22.2K

+18 more in this event

Market	Prob	Δ24h	Vol	Liq
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	67¢	+2.9	$484.11	$33.7K
Will Patrus Ananias win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	4¢	-0.9	$0.00	$25.2K
Will Flávio Roscoe win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	4¢	-0.9	$38.97	$21.4K
Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	1¢	-0.6	$804.91	$30.8K
Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	10¢	+0.1	$0.00	$24.0K
Will Gleidson Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	0¢	+0.1	$0.00	$12.7K
Will Nikolas Ferreira win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	0¢	0.0	$0.00	$30.9K
Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	8¢	0.0	$0.00	$23.4K
Will Tadeu Leite win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	0¢	0.0	$0.00	$32.4K
Will Aécio Neves win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	0¢	0.0	$0.00	$33.0K
Will Alexandre Silveira win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	0¢	0.0	$0.00	$31.1K
Will Gabriel Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	1¢	0.0	$0.00	$22.2K

+18 more markets in this event

About this event

The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).