Event

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

18 markets in this event family · $13.0K 24h volume · $30.7K liquidity. Share the URL anywhere — the rich preview card shows the cluster's biggest mover with one glance.

AIJul 31, 2026advancing 0 · declining 17
24h volume

$13.0K

18 markets · liq $31.5K

Avg volatility

1.5pp

Mean |24h move|

Top movers

1

Markets ≥5pp 24h

Large-trade flow

$0.00

0 trades ≥$5k

Source-risk

0

Active UMA dispute / pending

Resolving <24h

0

Settlement positioning risk

Top mover · 24h

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
14¢-8.8pp 24hVol $11.9K · Liq $22.8K

All markets in this cluster

18

About this event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.