Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
15 markets in this event family · $13.6K 24h volume · $85.0K liquidity. Share the URL anywhere — the rich preview card shows the cluster's biggest mover with one glance.
$13.6K
15 markets · liq $85.4K
3.2pp
Mean |24h move|
3
Markets ≥5pp 24h
$0.00
0 trades ≥$5k
0
Active UMA dispute / pending
0
Settlement positioning risk
Top mover · 24h
Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?All markets in this cluster
15Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Vol $866.20 · Liq $144.19
Will António Costa visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Vol $5.00 · Liq $12.2K
Will Andy Burnham visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Vol $610.98 · Liq $1.2K
Will Keith Kellogg visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Vol $1.7K · Liq $1.8K
Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Vol $1.7K · Liq $348.58
Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Vol $2.5K · Liq $102.97
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Vol $1.4K · Liq $2.4K
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Vol $1.7K · Liq $2.3K
Will Maia Sandu visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Vol $0.00 · Liq $11.7K
Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Vol $586.08 · Liq $712.53
Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Vol $99.73 · Liq $14.4K
Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Vol $126.62 · Liq $15.8K
+3 more in this event
| Market | Prob | Δ24h | Vol | Liq |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 34¢ | -11.0 | $866.20 | $144.19 |
| Will António Costa visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 89¢ | +9.5 | $5.00 | $12.2K |
| Will Andy Burnham visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 81¢ | +8.5 | $610.98 | $1.2K |
| Will Keith Kellogg visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 84¢ | -4.0 | $1.7K | $1.8K |
| Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 37¢ | +3.5 | $1.7K | $348.58 |
| Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 71¢ | -2.5 | $2.5K | $102.97 |
| Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 59¢ | +2.0 | $1.4K | $2.4K |
| Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 69¢ | +2.0 | $1.7K | $2.3K |
| Will Maia Sandu visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 90¢ | -1.5 | $0.00 | $11.7K |
| Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 49¢ | +1.5 | $586.08 | $712.53 |
| Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 92¢ | -0.5 | $99.73 | $14.4K |
| Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 91¢ | -0.5 | $126.62 | $15.8K |
+3 more markets in this event
About this event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.