# Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 10% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 03 May 2026 07:57:01 GMT. 24h change -4.0pp, 24h volume $101.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/2026-cadillac-championship-winner-scottie-scheffler-win
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/2026-cadillac-championship-winner-scottie-scheffler-win
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-03T07:57:01.123Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **10¢** (10%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -4.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $101.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $202.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $13.2K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026

**Source:** https://www.pgatour.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Cadillac Championship tournament.
> 
> If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Cadillac Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
> 
> If an unlisted player wins the Cadillac Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
> 
> In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
> 
> If no winner is announced by May 9, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
> 
> The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xa295…05d3` — 142,733.623 shares
- `0xc33a…3da3` — 15,230.758 shares
- `0x91eb…da31` — 1,499.997 shares
- `0x6fab…775a` — 1,234.875 shares
- `0x3906…7556` — 1,201.2 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2b46…684d` — 51,772.63 shares
- `0x033f…618e` — 43,569 shares
- `0xf28e…cab2` — 33,517.36 shares
- `0xdebb…eedb` — 7,692.25 shares
- `0x661d…4dc6` — 7,357.243 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 135 |
| Window start | 2026-04-27T17:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-03T07:56:05.000Z |
| Range | 9¢ → 54¢ |
| Net change | -44.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=2026-cadillac-championship-winner-scottie-scheffler-win` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Cadillac Championship? — 10% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-03T07:57:01.123Z from https://orrery.me/markets/2026-cadillac-championship-winner-scottie-scheffler-win.
```

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