# Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 28 May 2026 23:49:08 GMT. 24h change +59.0pp, 24h volume $260.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/aliensgov-confirmed-as-immigration-website
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/aliensgov-confirmed-as-immigration-website
**Category:** Science
**Resolves by:** Dec 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-28T23:49:08.656Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.1pp |
| Δ 24h | +59.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +60.5pp |
| 24h volume | $260.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $463.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $505.7K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Dec 31, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> On March 18, 2026, rumors emerged that the U.S. federal government had registered the domains “aliens.gov” and "alien.gov."
> 
> This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government officially announces or confirms that “aliens.gov” or "alien.gov" is intended for immigration-related purposes, or if the website becomes publicly accessible and its content is clearly and predominantly related to U.S. immigration or information for or about non-citizens (“aliens”), by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> For announcements to qualify, they must be official. For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity.
> 
> If either website becomes publicly accessible and its content is clearly and predominantly related to extraterrestrial/UFO topics or any subject not primarily related to immigration, or if any qualifying announcement or confirmation establishes that the domains are intended for such non-immigration-related purposes, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> Informal statements, placeholder pages, inactive domains, or any content that is not clearly indicative of the domains' primary purpose will not be considered.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 76%): Probability moved up 59.0pp in 24h with 0.5× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xe639…082a` — 90,104.05 shares
- `0xec59…bb35` — 43,697.551 shares
- `0xe7bd…ebce` — 38,103.213 shares
- `0xed10…d2e5` — 30,000 shares
- `0x8ebf…83ce` — 19,990.983 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xe6fa…aeec` — 50,000.009 shares
- `0xa510…1f80` — 21,347.08 shares
- `0x2637…26e1` — 20,000 shares
- `0x9630…b278` — 17,498.04 shares
- `0x318c…90cf` — 15,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-22T00:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-28T23:38:04.000Z |
| Range | 36¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +62.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=aliensgov-confirmed-as-immigration-website` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website? — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-28T23:49:08.656Z from https://orrery.me/markets/aliensgov-confirmed-as-immigration-website.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*