# Wuxi: Alex Bolt vs Fajing Sun

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 12:20:51 GMT. 24h change -54.4pp, 24h volume $138.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-bolt-su-2026-05-03
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-bolt-su-2026-05-03
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T12:20:51.792Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -54.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $138.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $141.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $255.1K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Fajing Sun in the Wuxi, originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against Fajing Sun.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Fajing Sun' if Fajing Sun advances against Alex Bolt.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xbba9…f183` — 22,265.671 shares
- `0x9d25…e306` — 10,000 shares
- `0xa1a9…e22e` — 2,123.176 shares
- `0x4924…f328` — 1,743.001 shares
- `0x1e33…afb3` — 1,734.255 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x5268…135d` — 4,257.851 shares
- `0x160b…4296` — 1,422.813 shares
- `0x9c76…c926` — 854.051 shares
- `0xd7ba…1349` — 64.5 shares
- `0x6bad…4d53` — 60 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 65 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T17:00:12.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T09:00:08.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 74¢ |
| Net change | -55.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-bolt-su-2026-05-03` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Wuxi: Alex Bolt vs Fajing Sun — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T12:20:51.792Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-bolt-su-2026-05-03.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*