# Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovic

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 38% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 27 May 2026 13:43:05 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $552.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-borges-kecmano-2026-05-27
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-borges-kecmano-2026-05-27
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jun 3, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-27T13:43:05.791Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **38¢** (38%) |
| Δ 1h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $552.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $556.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $59.9K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 3, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Miomir Kecmanovic in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Miomir Kecmanovic.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Miomir Kecmanovic' if Miomir Kecmanovic advances against Nuno Borges.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Recent large trades on this market

| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 13:41 UTC | `Deafening-Spread` | BUY | MIOMIR KECMANOVIC | $14.40 |

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x1925…4654` — 153,554.982 shares
- `0xea2b…1fc6` — 136,799.987 shares
- `0x9c76…c926` — 30,000 shares
- `0xf3c7…c83b` — 27,807.997 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 23,409.873 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xf883…cd1f` — 497,745.354 shares
- `0xa6c3…55a3` — 4,000 shares
- `0xeb77…ef9e` — 1,443.33 shares
- `0x137a…140d` — 1,087.393 shares
- `0xcc00…79f8` — 935.996 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 58 |
| Window start | 2026-05-25T05:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-27T13:42:04.000Z |
| Range | 28¢ → 47¢ |
| Net change | -16.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-borges-kecmano-2026-05-27` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovic — 38% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-27T13:43:05.791Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-borges-kecmano-2026-05-27.
```

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