# Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Jesper de Jong

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 5% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 27 May 2026 10:37:42 GMT. 24h change -38.0pp, 24h volume $834.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-cina-jong-2026-05-27
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-cina-jong-2026-05-27
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jun 3, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-27T10:37:42.004Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **5¢** (5%) |
| Δ 1h | -49.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -38.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $834.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $835.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $21.8K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 3, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Cina and Jesper de Jong in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Federico Cina' if Federico Cina advances against Jesper de Jong.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Jesper de Jong' if Jesper de Jong advances against Federico Cina.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Recent large trades on this market

| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 10:36 UTC | `Hot-Walrus` | SELL | JESPER DE JONG | $61.94 |

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xbee5…a636` — 622,861.396 shares
- `0x160b…4296` — 4,938.961 shares
- `0x32b4…8b21` — 3,367.599 shares
- `0xd4c3…60d9` — 2,999.992 shares
- `0x49c8…3c52` — 2,399.98 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xc3ac…b964` — 286,813.904 shares
- `0x37e4…c991` — 149,999.977 shares
- `0xf3c7…c83b` — 45,770 shares
- `0xcf6c…7e66` — 33,081.375 shares
- `0x84cb…28ad` — 25,862.069 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 43 |
| Window start | 2026-05-25T17:00:03.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-27T10:36:03.000Z |
| Range | 5¢ → 55¢ |
| Net change | -50.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-cina-jong-2026-05-27` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Jesper de Jong — 5% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-27T10:37:42.004Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-cina-jong-2026-05-27.
```

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