# Tunis: Kimmer Coppejans vs Edas Butvilas

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 12 May 2026 19:04:12 GMT. 24h change +48.9pp, 24h volume $230.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-coppeja-butvila-2026-05-12
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-coppeja-butvila-2026-05-12
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 19, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-12T19:04:12.507Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +48.9pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $230.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $230.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $702.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 19, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Kimmer Coppejans and Edas Butvilas in the Tunis, originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Kimmer Coppejans' if Kimmer Coppejans advances against Edas Butvilas.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Edas Butvilas' if Edas Butvilas advances against Kimmer Coppejans.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x13f0…a50f` — 18,949 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 17,899.948 shares
- `0x9ad6…4251` — 17,708 shares
- `0x84ad…bfb7` — 9,312.831 shares
- `0xdbbb…05a8` — 7,493.981 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xe30e…6b87` — 51,919.387 shares
- `0xda3a…381f` — 13,896.038 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 6,575.925 shares
- `0x5d5a…4289` — 2,857.084 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 2,796.006 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 28 |
| Window start | 2026-05-11T17:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-12T19:04:05.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-coppeja-butvila-2026-05-12` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Tunis: Kimmer Coppejans vs Edas Butvilas — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-12T19:04:12.507Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-coppeja-butvila-2026-05-12.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*