# Bordeaux: Titouan Droguet vs Terence Atmane

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 14 May 2026 17:13:28 GMT. 24h change +48.4pp, 24h volume $260.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-droguet-atmane-2026-05-14
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-droguet-atmane-2026-05-14
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-14T17:13:28.682Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +48.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $260.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $266.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $469.9K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Titouan Droguet and Terence Atmane in the Bordeaux, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Titouan Droguet' if Titouan Droguet advances against Terence Atmane.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Terence Atmane' if Terence Atmane advances against Titouan Droguet.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5c92…4e7c` — 20,041.8 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 12,028.51 shares
- `0x84ad…bfb7` — 11,203.87 shares
- `0x64c5…d255` — 9,961.59 shares
- `0x160b…4296` — 7,658.81 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xf56b…ac88` — 16,541.273 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 10,321.597 shares
- `0xef1b…8697` — 9,757.342 shares
- `0xd218…b5c9` — 7,336.954 shares
- `0xcf03…5b17` — 5,024.286 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 44 |
| Window start | 2026-05-12T23:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-14T17:13:11.000Z |
| Range | 38¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-droguet-atmane-2026-05-14` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Bordeaux: Titouan Droguet vs Terence Atmane — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-14T17:13:28.682Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-droguet-atmane-2026-05-14.
```

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