# Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 16:23:43 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $265.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-faria-ruiz-2026-05-05
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-faria-ruiz-2026-05-05
**Category:** AI
**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T16:23:43.942Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -3.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $265.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $265.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $476.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Pablo Llamas Ruiz in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification, originally scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 8:30AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Pablo Llamas Ruiz.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Pablo Llamas Ruiz' if Pablo Llamas Ruiz advances against Jaime Faria.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfe78…0319` — 17,017.449 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 16,724.995 shares
- `0x5aa9…febe` — 14,800.172 shares
- `0x8f3c…2f57` — 11,554.644 shares
- `0xed19…83ba` — 4,989.326 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x64c5…d255` — 19,835.4 shares
- `0x0ebb…cb1a` — 18,485.719 shares
- `0x9a8c…ba13` — 11,037.53 shares
- `0xc5dc…7cf2` — 7,506.63 shares
- `0xc8b0…6815` — 5,322.302 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 19 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T23:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T16:22:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 73¢ |
| Net change | -43.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-faria-ruiz-2026-05-05` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T16:23:43.942Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-faria-ruiz-2026-05-05.
```

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