# Mauthausen: Jaime Faria vs Roman Safiullin

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 03 May 2026 16:24:36 GMT. 24h change -46.5pp, 24h volume $226.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-faria-safiull-2026-05-03
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-faria-safiull-2026-05-03
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-03T16:24:36.366Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -46.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $226.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $226.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $303.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Roman Safiullin in the Mauthausen, originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 7:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Roman Safiullin.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Roman Safiullin' if Roman Safiullin advances against Jaime Faria.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5ba6…0f07` — 15,000.729 shares
- `0x0ebb…cb1a` — 9,338.245 shares
- `0x6076…f8fd` — 2,893.008 shares
- `0x1e33…afb3` — 2,213.309 shares
- `0xbd2d…0344` — 2,111.111 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3ac0…7604` — 8,135 shares
- `0xa16a…33a1` — 7,762.59 shares
- `0xb77b…70a5` — 6,000 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 5,352.314 shares
- `0xb595…5922` — 4,788.26 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 25 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T17:00:11.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-03T16:23:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 71¢ |
| Net change | -46.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-faria-safiull-2026-05-03` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Mauthausen: Jaime Faria vs Roman Safiullin — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-03T16:24:36.366Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-faria-safiull-2026-05-03.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*