# Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 36% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 28 May 2026 20:17:02 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $274.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-fonseca-djokovi-2026-05-29
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-fonseca-djokovi-2026-05-29
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jun 5, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-28T20:17:02.448Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **36¢** (36%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $274.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $274.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $127.4K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 5, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Fonseca and Novak Djokovic in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Joao Fonseca' if Joao Fonseca advances against Novak Djokovic.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Novak Djokovic' if Novak Djokovic advances against Joao Fonseca.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x1eaf…9bf0` — 75,859.46 shares
- `0xa080…234f` — 39,999.972 shares
- `0x2c33…0563` — 18,364.116 shares
- `0x160b…4296` — 14,822.37 shares
- `0x820a…ca12` — 5,401 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x8c80…02c3` — 149,999.811 shares
- `0x979f…4032` — 43,831.986 shares
- `0xd3e7…bf64` — 2,200 shares
- `0x7234…1d85` — 1,200 shares
- `0x32b4…8b21` — 545.521 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 23 |
| Window start | 2026-05-27T23:00:03.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-28T20:16:03.000Z |
| Range | 34¢ → 37¢ |
| Net change | -1.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-fonseca-djokovi-2026-05-29` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic — 36% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-28T20:17:02.448Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-fonseca-djokovi-2026-05-29.
```

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