# Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 49% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 27 May 2026 18:54:07 GMT. 24h change -2.0pp, 24h volume $165.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-fonseca-prizmic-2026-05-27
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-fonseca-prizmic-2026-05-27
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jun 3, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-27T18:54:07.632Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **49¢** (49%) |
| Δ 1h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -2.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $165.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $191.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $89.1K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 3, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Fonseca and Dino Prizmic in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Joao Fonseca' if Joao Fonseca advances against Dino Prizmic.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Dino Prizmic' if Dino Prizmic advances against Joao Fonseca.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Recent large trades on this market

| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 18:52 UTC | `Illiterate-Retrospectivity` | BUY | JOAO FONSECA | $1.24 |

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5966…f804` — 103,243.227 shares
- `0x2fa0…be6d` — 34,526.544 shares
- `0xd123…d341` — 25,572.283 shares
- `0x9c76…c926` — 23,080.143 shares
- `0xdb25…eb12` — 17,736.707 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2c33…0563` — 63,904.652 shares
- `0x88d1…18da` — 43,843.745 shares
- `0x45e4…7e20` — 33,639.878 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 28,823.228 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 27,611.823 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 63 |
| Window start | 2026-05-25T05:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-27T18:09:04.000Z |
| Range | 27¢ → 57¢ |
| Net change | -29.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-fonseca-prizmic-2026-05-27` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic — 49% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-27T18:54:07.632Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-fonseca-prizmic-2026-05-27.
```

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