# Roland Garros ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Matteo Berrettini

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 25 May 2026 14:26:16 GMT. 24h change -34.0pp, 24h volume $355.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-fucsovi-berrett-2026-05-24
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-fucsovi-berrett-2026-05-24
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-25T14:26:16.512Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -34.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $355.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $356.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $271.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Marton Fucsovics and Matteo Berrettini in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Marton Fucsovics' if Marton Fucsovics advances against Matteo Berrettini.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Matteo Berrettini' if Matteo Berrettini advances against Marton Fucsovics.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfe78…0319` — 18,407.921 shares
- `0xd123…d341` — 10,784.28 shares
- `0xcf6c…7e66` — 9,240 shares
- `0x5bec…b215` — 8,912.661 shares
- `0xeaf3…e802` — 7,199.982 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xcd3f…8e2b` — 20,229.27 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 16,492.408 shares
- `0xfc25…1f7f` — 15,741.95 shares
- `0x44a1…bd21` — 15,499.18 shares
- `0x996a…e3cc` — 10,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 83 |
| Window start | 2026-05-22T05:00:15.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-25T14:25:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 45¢ |
| Net change | -32.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-fucsovi-berrett-2026-05-24` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Matteo Berrettini — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-25T14:26:16.512Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-fucsovi-berrett-2026-05-24.
```

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