# Cervia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Buvaysar Gadamauri

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 23 May 2026 18:50:45 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $291.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-gurri-gadamau-2026-05-23
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-gurri-gadamau-2026-05-23
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 30, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-23T18:50:45.547Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $291.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $291.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $277.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 30, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Max Alcala Gurri and Buvaysar Gadamauri in the Cervia, originally scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Max Alcala Gurri' if Max Alcala Gurri advances against Buvaysar Gadamauri.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Buvaysar Gadamauri' if Buvaysar Gadamauri advances against Max Alcala Gurri.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3555…ba40` — 46,984.9 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 6,159.887 shares
- `0x363c…4463` — 4,999.964 shares
- `0xef29…2f1e` — 3,103.55 shares
- `0x45e1…5934` — 2,688.41 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xef1b…8697` — 27,365.34 shares
- `0xce9f…26e8` — 8,337.366 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 8,190.598 shares
- `0xce36…2b99` — 5,892.886 shares
- `0x1e33…afb3` — 3,175.676 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 21 |
| Window start | 2026-05-22T23:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-23T18:50:04.000Z |
| Range | 48¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +40.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-gurri-gadamau-2026-05-23` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Cervia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Buvaysar Gadamauri — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-23T18:50:45.547Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-gurri-gadamau-2026-05-23.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*