# Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 21% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 20:28:17 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $96.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-hijikat-basilas-2026-05-05
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-hijikat-basilas-2026-05-05
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T20:28:17.352Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **21¢** (21%) |
| Δ 1h | -17.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $96.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $96.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $121.3K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Rinky Hijikata and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification, originally scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 8:30AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Rinky Hijikata' if Rinky Hijikata advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Rinky Hijikata.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfe78…0319` — 28,482.452 shares
- `0x27b0…fc67` — 26,199.949 shares
- `0x153a…9d6d` — 15,350.083 shares
- `0xd218…b5c9` — 8,010.403 shares
- `0x32bf…ec60` — 4,927.944 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa72a…93fd` — 17,522.82 shares
- `0x0ebb…cb1a` — 15,749.503 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 12,174.805 shares
- `0x507e…beae` — 4,654.633 shares
- `0x710c…78ea` — 2,473.02 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 21 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T23:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T19:00:06.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 46¢ |
| Net change | -41.9pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-hijikat-basilas-2026-05-05` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Nikoloz Basilashvili — 21% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T20:28:17.352Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-hijikat-basilas-2026-05-05.
```

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