# Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Pierluigi Basile

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 20:31:34 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $613.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-hijikat-basile-2026-05-04
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-hijikat-basile-2026-05-04
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T20:31:34.872Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $613.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $613.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $354.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Rinky Hijikata and Pierluigi Basile in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification, originally scheduled for May 4, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Rinky Hijikata' if Rinky Hijikata advances against Pierluigi Basile.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Pierluigi Basile' if Pierluigi Basile advances against Rinky Hijikata.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3555…ba40` — 36,502.93 shares
- `0x6fc4…c89d` — 20,000 shares
- `0x3ac0…7604` — 18,986.9 shares
- `0x38c2…d3a7` — 12,552.858 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 7,159.421 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x9a8c…ba13` — 16,100 shares
- `0xc0ff…9953` — 14,005.045 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 11,441.658 shares
- `0x84ad…bfb7` — 8,083.977 shares
- `0x8e8c…65dd` — 6,230 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 17 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T05:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T20:29:08.000Z |
| Range | 41¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +21.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-hijikat-basile-2026-05-04` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Pierluigi Basile — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T20:31:34.872Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-hijikat-basile-2026-05-04.
```

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