# Roland Garros ATP: Rinky Hijikata vs Tommy Paul

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 8% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 25 May 2026 18:32:00 GMT. 24h change +1.0pp, 24h volume $669.65.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-hijikat-paul-2026-05-24
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-hijikat-paul-2026-05-24
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-25T18:32:00.463Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **8¢** (8%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $669.65 |
| Lifetime volume | $4.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $25.2K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Rinky Hijikata and Tommy Paul in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Rinky Hijikata' if Rinky Hijikata advances against Tommy Paul.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Rinky Hijikata.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x7a3b…88e5` — 33,899.066 shares
- `0xddfc…bd59` — 20,572.891 shares
- `0xce9f…26e8` — 9,957.32 shares
- `0x9d8a…5201` — 7,641.529 shares
- `0x2ca1…ddcd` — 5,885.174 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x996a…e3cc` — 21,689.57 shares
- `0x4e8b…05bd` — 20,683.203 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 18,459.391 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 17,747.038 shares
- `0xd218…b5c9` — 16,273.171 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 50 |
| Window start | 2026-05-22T05:00:15.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-24T05:09:04.000Z |
| Range | 6¢ → 9¢ |
| Net change | -1.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-hijikat-paul-2026-05-24` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros ATP: Rinky Hijikata vs Tommy Paul — 8% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-25T18:32:00.463Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-hijikat-paul-2026-05-24.
```

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