# Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 46% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 27 May 2026 15:01:06 GMT. 24h change -12.0pp, 24h volume $949.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-humbert-halys-2026-05-27
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-humbert-halys-2026-05-27
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jun 3, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-27T15:01:06.425Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **46¢** (46%) |
| Δ 1h | -12.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -12.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $949.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $950.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $76.7K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 3, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Ugo Humbert and Quentin Halys in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Ugo Humbert' if Ugo Humbert advances against Quentin Halys.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Quentin Halys' if Quentin Halys advances against Ugo Humbert.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved down 12.0pp in 24h with 12.4× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xc3ac…b964` — 349,121.743 shares
- `0x37e4…c991` — 185,423.572 shares
- `0xde9f…b8f7` — 64,621.272 shares
- `0x2c33…0563` — 50,000 shares
- `0xd38a…8d26` — 25,540.534 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xbee5…a636` — 737,530.99 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 7,793.919 shares
- `0x42c9…9623` — 6,593.19 shares
- `0xde9f…d43c` — 5,942.8 shares
- `0x99f0…9495` — 5,747.934 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 47 |
| Window start | 2026-05-25T17:00:03.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-27T14:59:03.000Z |
| Range | 34¢ → 59¢ |
| Net change | +8.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-humbert-halys-2026-05-27` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys — 46% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-27T15:01:06.425Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-humbert-halys-2026-05-27.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*