# Ostrava: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Zdenek Kolar

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 03 May 2026 12:47:29 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $273.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-izquier-kolar-2026-05-03
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-izquier-kolar-2026-05-03
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-03T12:47:29.119Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $273.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $273.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $277.5K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo and Zdenek Kolar in the Ostrava, originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo' if Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo advances against Zdenek Kolar.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Zdenek Kolar' if Zdenek Kolar advances against Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfe78…0319` — 24,522.259 shares
- `0x2dc8…47d0` — 20,411 shares
- `0xfc25…1f7f` — 11,890.79 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 7,482.617 shares
- `0x3ac0…7604` — 6,848.65 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x65b9…ff15` — 29,515.654 shares
- `0xef1b…8697` — 14,287.709 shares
- `0x5ba6…0f07` — 9,999.979 shares
- `0xe3d4…2bac` — 7,529.629 shares
- `0x1ef5…dc05` — 4,563.364 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 21 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T17:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-03T12:47:06.000Z |
| Range | 37¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +63.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-izquier-kolar-2026-05-03` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Ostrava: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Zdenek Kolar — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-03T12:47:29.119Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-izquier-kolar-2026-05-03.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*