# Bengaluru 2: Maximus Jones vs Amit Vales

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 11:33:18 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $281.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-jon-vales-2026-05-13
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-jon-vales-2026-05-13
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 20, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T11:33:18.873Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +25.8pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $281.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $281.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $368.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 20, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Maximus Jones and Amit Vales in the Bengaluru 2, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 3:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Maximus Jones' if Maximus Jones advances against Amit Vales.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Amit Vales' if Amit Vales advances against Maximus Jones.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x2005…75ea` — 21,276.765 shares
- `0x1ef5…dc05` — 11,968.042 shares
- `0x647e…dd9b` — 10,283.033 shares
- `0xfc25…1f7f` — 8,988.53 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 4,598.137 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x204f…5e14` — 15,037.451 shares
- `0x507e…beae` — 9,781.401 shares
- `0x5fea…78b1` — 8,273.109 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 3,827.438 shares
- `0x21b7…c861` — 3,790.457 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 19 |
| Window start | 2026-05-12T17:00:31.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T11:00:07.000Z |
| Range | 12¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +32.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-jon-vales-2026-05-13` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Bengaluru 2: Maximus Jones vs Amit Vales — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T11:33:18.873Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-jon-vales-2026-05-13.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*