# Roland Garros ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Fabian Marozsan

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 59% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 24 May 2026 11:49:30 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $5.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-kecmano-marozsa-2026-05-24
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-kecmano-marozsa-2026-05-24
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-24T11:49:30.580Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **59¢** (59%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $5.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $7.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $102.9K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Miomir Kecmanovic and Fabian Marozsan in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Miomir Kecmanovic' if Miomir Kecmanovic advances against Fabian Marozsan.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Miomir Kecmanovic.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xbee5…a636` — 531,526.135 shares
- `0x44a1…bd21` — 13,247.67 shares
- `0x363c…4463` — 5,284.3 shares
- `0xb75c…b6d3` — 4,863.76 shares
- `0x59f4…c1f1` — 4,838.71 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x37e4…c991` — 150,000 shares
- `0xc3ac…b964` — 96,256.247 shares
- `0xf3c7…c83b` — 78,668.992 shares
- `0x2c33…0563` — 68,615.556 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 25,995.956 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 54 |
| Window start | 2026-05-22T05:00:15.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-24T09:48:04.000Z |
| Range | 54¢ → 62¢ |
| Net change | -8.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-kecmano-marozsa-2026-05-24` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Fabian Marozsan — 59% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-24T11:49:30.580Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-kecmano-marozsa-2026-05-24.
```

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