# Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 65% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 29 May 2026 18:30:23 GMT. 24h change -6.0pp, 24h volume $220.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-khachan-jong-2026-05-29
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-khachan-jong-2026-05-29
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jun 5, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-29T18:30:23.878Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **65¢** (65%) |
| Δ 1h | -8.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -6.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $220.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $221.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $94.7K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 5, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Jesper de Jong in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Jesper de Jong.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Jesper de Jong' if Jesper de Jong advances against Karen Khachanov.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 81%): Probability moved down 6.0pp in 24h with 2.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xb38f…5048` — 44,900.037 shares
- `0xd38a…8d26` — 43,064.28 shares
- `0xef1b…8697` — 33,933.921 shares
- `0x1eaf…9bf0` — 27,232.17 shares
- `0x6b91…06c4` — 25,407.293 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xf284…b9f9` — 91,809.069 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 48,720.229 shares
- `0x42c9…9623` — 31,624.071 shares
- `0xcf6c…7e66` — 30,200.911 shares
- `0xde9f…d43c` — 26,191.122 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 50 |
| Window start | 2026-05-27T17:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-29T18:30:04.000Z |
| Range | 8¢ → 74¢ |
| Net change | -61.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-khachan-jong-2026-05-29` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong — 65% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-29T18:30:23.878Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-khachan-jong-2026-05-29.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*