# Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Marco Trungelliti

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 77% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 27 May 2026 13:43:25 GMT. 24h change +1.0pp, 24h volume $19.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-khachan-trungel-2026-05-27
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-khachan-trungel-2026-05-27
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jun 3, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-27T13:43:25.033Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **77¢** (77%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $19.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $19.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $91.7K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 3, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Marco Trungelliti in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Marco Trungelliti.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Karen Khachanov.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xcf6c…7e66` — 59,924.15 shares
- `0x64c5…d255` — 27,752.57 shares
- `0x479e…91c3` — 15,381.225 shares
- `0x59ba…f6a2` — 13,400 shares
- `0xf519…906b` — 11,999.942 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x5268…135d` — 20,837.112 shares
- `0x6a00…9158` — 16,478.453 shares
- `0x9c76…c926` — 15,000 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 13,321.096 shares
- `0xec59…bb35` — 9,999.991 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 57 |
| Window start | 2026-05-25T05:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-27T12:45:04.000Z |
| Range | 71¢ → 97¢ |
| Net change | +1.4pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-khachan-trungel-2026-05-27` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Marco Trungelliti — 77% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-27T13:43:25.033Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-khachan-trungel-2026-05-27.
```

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