# Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmane

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 41% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 25 May 2026 15:34:22 GMT. 24h change +13.0pp, 24h volume $406.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-kokkina-atmane-2026-05-24
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-kokkina-atmane-2026-05-24
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-25T15:34:22.094Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **41¢** (41%) |
| Δ 1h | +17.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +13.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $406.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $455.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $84.4K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Thanasi Kokkinakis and Terence Atmane in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Thanasi Kokkinakis' if Thanasi Kokkinakis advances against Terence Atmane.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Terence Atmane' if Terence Atmane advances against Thanasi Kokkinakis.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved up 13.0pp in 24h with 4.8× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3663…8950` — 23,603.895 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 19,313.101 shares
- `0x10ff…5088` — 13,157.333 shares
- `0x6f3e…bcf8` — 9,168.33 shares
- `0xa5eb…93bf` — 8,863.636 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x7a3b…88e5` — 21,354.982 shares
- `0x1eaf…9bf0` — 20,373.627 shares
- `0x710c…78ea` — 19,352.585 shares
- `0xf152…64aa` — 15,015.88 shares
- `0x198f…c419` — 14,206.581 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 78 |
| Window start | 2026-05-22T05:00:12.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-25T09:44:03.000Z |
| Range | 24¢ → 34¢ |
| Net change | -10.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-kokkina-atmane-2026-05-24` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmane — 41% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-25T15:34:22.094Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-kokkina-atmane-2026-05-24.
```

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