# Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Ignacio Buse

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 25% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 22 May 2026 17:01:20 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $6.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-kovacev-buse-2026-05-22
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-kovacev-buse-2026-05-22
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 29, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-22T17:01:20.819Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **25¢** (25%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $6.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $6.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $53.7K |
| Spread | 2.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 29, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Kovacevic and Ignacio Buse in the Hamburg European Open, originally scheduled for May 22, 2026 at 9:30AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Kovacevic' if Aleksandar Kovacevic advances against Ignacio Buse.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Buse' if Ignacio Buse advances against Aleksandar Kovacevic.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfe78…0319` — 21,475.282 shares
- `0x9c76…c926` — 9,718 shares
- `0xa9c4…7433` — 9,240.373 shares
- `0x4ddc…a8dc` — 7,573.958 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 6,412.852 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x0997…c9f6` — 25,123 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 23,294.639 shares
- `0x6fc4…c89d` — 18,653 shares
- `0x9ad6…4251` — 10,508.39 shares
- `0xf152…64aa` — 10,394.21 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 13 |
| Window start | 2026-05-21T23:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-22T10:05:06.000Z |
| Range | 23¢ → 25¢ |
| Net change | +2.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-kovacev-buse-2026-05-22` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Ignacio Buse — 25% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-22T17:01:20.819Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-kovacev-buse-2026-05-22.
```

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