# Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Soon-Woo Kwon

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 09 May 2026 11:05:55 GMT. 24h change -43.5pp, 24h volume $279.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-lajal-kwon-2026-05-08
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-lajal-kwon-2026-05-08
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 16, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-09T11:05:55.511Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -43.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $279.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $279.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $282.3K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 16, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Mark Lajal and Soon-Woo Kwon in the Wuxi, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Mark Lajal' if Mark Lajal advances against Soon-Woo Kwon.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Soon-Woo Kwon' if Soon-Woo Kwon advances against Mark Lajal.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xb0da…f3f0` — 22,143.954 shares
- `0x8e8c…65dd` — 7,985.879 shares
- `0xce36…2b99` — 7,795.684 shares
- `0xeaf3…e802` — 7,010 shares
- `0x40ff…9d91` — 4,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x9ad6…4251` — 21,904.09 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 14,102.945 shares
- `0x1624…bf63` — 8,533.371 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 7,651.167 shares
- `0x710c…78ea` — 7,261.766 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 26 |
| Window start | 2026-05-08T11:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-09T11:05:06.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 44¢ |
| Net change | -43.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-lajal-kwon-2026-05-08` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Soon-Woo Kwon — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-09T11:05:55.511Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-lajal-kwon-2026-05-08.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*