# Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Juan Martin vs Titouan Droguet

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 17:15:05 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $223.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-ma-droguet-2026-05-04
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-ma-droguet-2026-05-04
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T17:15:05.794Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -41.4pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $223.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $223.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $542.7K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Martin and Titouan Droguet in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification, originally scheduled for May 4, 2026 at 7:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Juan Martin' if Juan Martin advances against Titouan Droguet.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Titouan Droguet' if Titouan Droguet advances against Juan Martin.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfe78…0319` — 19,738.593 shares
- `0x1ef5…dc05` — 13,971.469 shares
- `0x86c8…c867` — 5,492.305 shares
- `0x0f8e…3082` — 3,347.9 shares
- `0x4699…5051` — 2,300 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x710c…78ea` — 3,992.6 shares
- `0x507e…beae` — 1,206.34 shares
- `0x7cb2…f12f` — 1,000 shares
- `0x99d5…2149` — 91 shares
- `0x8b7b…9ab9` — 12.048 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 10 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T05:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T13:05:04.000Z |
| Range | 8¢ → 40¢ |
| Net change | -5.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-ma-droguet-2026-05-04` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Juan Martin vs Titouan Droguet — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T17:15:05.794Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-ma-droguet-2026-05-04.
```

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