# Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Fabian Marozsan vs Vit Kopriva

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 06 May 2026 13:08:21 GMT. 24h change -56.5pp, 24h volume $182.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-marozsa-kopriva-2026-05-06
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-marozsa-kopriva-2026-05-06
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-06T13:08:21.688Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -56.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $182.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $195.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $459.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Vit Kopriva in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Vit Kopriva.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Vit Kopriva' if Vit Kopriva advances against Fabian Marozsan.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x45e4…7e20` — 16,817.136 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 10,013.248 shares
- `0xa82a…a759` — 8,499.963 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 6,758.17 shares
- `0x77f6…dbd1` — 3,899.663 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x0997…c9f6` — 16,302 shares
- `0x9ad6…4251` — 9,846.79 shares
- `0xec8d…dd71` — 7,862.6 shares
- `0x710c…78ea` — 5,399.631 shares
- `0x84ad…bfb7` — 5,185.754 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 46 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T17:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-06T13:07:08.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 60¢ |
| Net change | -51.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-marozsa-kopriva-2026-05-06` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Fabian Marozsan vs Vit Kopriva — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-06T13:08:21.688Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-marozsa-kopriva-2026-05-06.
```

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