# Roland Garros ATP: Jaume Munar vs Hubert Hurkacz

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 44% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 25 May 2026 15:32:37 GMT. 24h change -2.0pp, 24h volume $71.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-munar-hurkacz-2026-05-24
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-munar-hurkacz-2026-05-24
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-25T15:32:37.376Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **44¢** (44%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -2.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $71.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $72.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $86.0K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Jaume Munar and Hubert Hurkacz in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Jaume Munar' if Jaume Munar advances against Hubert Hurkacz.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Jaume Munar.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x1136…0c2e` — 38,139.931 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 37,080.519 shares
- `0x9cb9…32f2` — 34,999.839 shares
- `0x83d2…d196` — 21,999.97 shares
- `0xcd65…ee96` — 15,555.556 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xb0da…f3f0` — 38,140.524 shares
- `0x45e4…7e20` — 29,999.811 shares
- `0xffe9…a70e` — 20,373.564 shares
- `0xa9c4…7433` — 16,309.6 shares
- `0x8bfe…2d74` — 14,555.216 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 84 |
| Window start | 2026-05-22T05:00:14.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-25T15:32:03.000Z |
| Range | 10¢ → 48¢ |
| Net change | -21.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-munar-hurkacz-2026-05-24` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros ATP: Jaume Munar vs Hubert Hurkacz — 44% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-25T15:32:37.376Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-munar-hurkacz-2026-05-24.
```

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