# Abidjan 2: Gauthier Onclin vs Eliakim Coulibaly

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 02 May 2026 21:07:44 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $251.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-onclin-couliba-2026-05-02
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-onclin-couliba-2026-05-02
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** May 9, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-02T21:07:44.930Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $251.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $251.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $205.5K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 9, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Gauthier Onclin and Eliakim Coulibaly in the Abidjan 2, originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 at 1:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Gauthier Onclin' if Gauthier Onclin advances against Eliakim Coulibaly.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Eliakim Coulibaly' if Eliakim Coulibaly advances against Gauthier Onclin.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xd218…b5c9` — 22,703.749 shares
- `0x3ac0…7604` — 18,707.54 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 15,142.015 shares
- `0x507e…beae` — 6,859.439 shares
- `0x51eb…6bfa` — 5,447.924 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xc26f…cf1b` — 35,023.238 shares
- `0x0165…8235` — 12,276.235 shares
- `0x56e9…79c6` — 7,577.218 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 7,392.807 shares
- `0x6076…f8fd` — 6,342.483 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 24 |
| Window start | 2026-05-01T23:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-02T21:06:04.000Z |
| Range | 14¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +34.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-onclin-couliba-2026-05-02` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Abidjan 2: Gauthier Onclin vs Eliakim Coulibaly — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-02T21:07:44.930Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-onclin-couliba-2026-05-02.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*