# Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 24 May 2026 21:53:09 GMT. 24h change -11.5pp, 24h volume $1.4M.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-perrica-djokovi-2026-05-24
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-perrica-djokovi-2026-05-24
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-24T21:53:09.018Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -3.5pp |
| Δ 24h | -11.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $1.4M |
| Lifetime volume | $1.5M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $462.1K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Novak Djokovic in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard' if Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard advances against Novak Djokovic.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Novak Djokovic' if Novak Djokovic advances against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved down 11.5pp in 24h with 3.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x9cb9…32f2` — 69,999.74 shares
- `0x88d1…18da` — 57,000 shares
- `0x7a3b…88e5` — 46,418.95 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 40,107.396 shares
- `0x5877…d894` — 33,351.115 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xfe78…0319` — 51,598.959 shares
- `0x37e4…c991` — 50,923.99 shares
- `0xd218…b5c9` — 43,044.252 shares
- `0xbdc3…c0ea` — 24,686.67 shares
- `0x4e8b…05bd` — 21,223.459 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 32 |
| Window start | 2026-05-22T05:00:12.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-23T11:04:04.000Z |
| Range | 12¢ → 14¢ |
| Net change | +0.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-perrica-djokovi-2026-05-24` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-24T21:53:09.018Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-perrica-djokovi-2026-05-24.
```

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