# Roland Garros ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Francisco Comesana

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 43% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 26 May 2026 17:50:54 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $35.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-quinn-comesan-2026-05-24
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-quinn-comesan-2026-05-24
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-26T17:50:54.187Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **43¢** (43%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $35.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $40.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $59.2K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Ethan Quinn and Francisco Comesana in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Ethan Quinn' if Ethan Quinn advances against Francisco Comesana.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Francisco Comesana' if Francisco Comesana advances against Ethan Quinn.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Recent large trades on this market

| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 17:50 UTC | `0xe907…cff6` | BUY | FRANCISCO COMESANA | $19.34 |
| May 26, 17:50 UTC | `0xe547…766a` | BUY | ETHAN QUINN | $4.88 |
| May 26, 17:50 UTC | `0xdfdf…ec62` | BUY | ETHAN QUINN | $4.88 |
| May 26, 17:50 UTC | `Cuddly-Will` | BUY | ETHAN QUINN | $229.80 |

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xc3ac…b964` — 300,000 shares
- `0x2c33…0563` — 243,254.422 shares
- `0x37e4…c991` — 150,000 shares
- `0x1136…0c2e` — 100,398.48 shares
- `0x5966…f804` — 54,260.48 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xbee5…a636` — 935,376.219 shares
- `0xf519…906b` — 11,999.948 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 9,940.855 shares
- `0xcd65…ee96` — 6,760.856 shares
- `0x1eaf…9bf0` — 5,689.858 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 108 |
| Window start | 2026-05-22T05:00:15.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-26T15:35:06.000Z |
| Range | 42¢ → 46¢ |
| Net change | -3.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-quinn-comesan-2026-05-24` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Francisco Comesana — 43% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-26T17:50:54.187Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-quinn-comesan-2026-05-24.
```

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