# Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 91% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 14:48:15 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $698.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-ruud-khachan-2026-05-13
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-ruud-khachan-2026-05-13
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 20, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T14:48:15.011Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **91¢** (91%) |
| Δ 1h | +1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $698.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $698.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $114.8K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 20, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Casper Ruud and Karen Khachanov in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 7:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Karen Khachanov.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Casper Ruud.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x88d1…18da` — 63,061.33 shares
- `0x1eaf…9bf0` — 53,893.109 shares
- `0xde9f…b8f7` — 44,438.654 shares
- `0xe8d7…1252` — 27,339.091 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 20,776.169 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x5234…4c4f` — 70,676.899 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 43,534.776 shares
- `0xf56b…ac88` — 32,943.73 shares
- `0xcf6c…7e66` — 31,949.97 shares
- `0xa3f8…4682` — 30,839.252 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 23 |
| Window start | 2026-05-12T17:00:29.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T14:46:06.000Z |
| Range | 76¢ → 91¢ |
| Net change | +15.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-ruud-khachan-2026-05-13` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov — 91% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T14:48:15.011Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-ruud-khachan-2026-05-13.
```

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