# Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovic

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 81% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 27 May 2026 19:33:04 GMT. 24h change +11.0pp, 24h volume $540.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-ruud-medjedo-2026-05-27
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-ruud-medjedo-2026-05-27
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jun 3, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-27T19:33:04.625Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **81¢** (81%) |
| Δ 1h | +9.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +11.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $540.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $546.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $59.3K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 3, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Casper Ruud and Hamad Medjedovic in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Hamad Medjedovic.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Hamad Medjedovic' if Hamad Medjedovic advances against Casper Ruud.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved up 11.0pp in 24h with 9.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5bec…b215` — 128,670.848 shares
- `0xf284…b9f9` — 122,735.545 shares
- `0x88d1…18da` — 69,449.971 shares
- `0xc181…0992` — 10,124.648 shares
- `0x0a63…fc03` — 10,000.543 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2c33…0563` — 110,166.43 shares
- `0x5d1d…afd2` — 33,473.712 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 29,299.574 shares
- `0x5877…d894` — 24,000 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 23,204.666 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 45 |
| Window start | 2026-05-25T23:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-27T18:30:05.000Z |
| Range | 68¢ → 72¢ |
| Net change | +1.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-ruud-medjedo-2026-05-27` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovic — 81% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-27T19:33:04.625Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-ruud-medjedo-2026-05-27.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*