# Roland Garros ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jaime Faria

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 4% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 28 May 2026 13:47:10 GMT. 24h change -33.5pp, 24h volume $315.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-struff-faria-2026-05-28
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-struff-faria-2026-05-28
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jun 4, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-28T13:47:10.772Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **4¢** (4%) |
| Δ 1h | -15.5pp |
| Δ 24h | -33.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $315.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $319.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $39.3K |
| Spread | 2.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 4, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Jaime Faria in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Jaime Faria.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Jan-Lennard Struff.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved down 33.5pp in 24h with 8.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfe78…0319` — 46,914.785 shares
- `0x1136…0c2e` — 15,841.087 shares
- `0x9c76…c926` — 15,000 shares
- `0x363c…4463` — 12,759.52 shares
- `0xeaf3…e802` — 6,220 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x5966…f804` — 80,531.285 shares
- `0x44a1…bd21` — 14,839.67 shares
- `0xde9f…d43c` — 5,417.93 shares
- `0x1431…7a12` — 4,000 shares
- `0x66b1…340f` — 2,339.63 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 38 |
| Window start | 2026-05-26T23:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-28T11:25:03.000Z |
| Range | 3¢ → 43¢ |
| Net change | -38.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-struff-faria-2026-05-28` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jaime Faria — 4% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-28T13:47:10.772Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-struff-faria-2026-05-28.
```

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