# Tunis: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tristan Boyer

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 17:03:05 GMT. 24h change -78.5pp, 24h volume $320.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-svrcina-boyer-2026-05-13
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-svrcina-boyer-2026-05-13
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 20, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T17:03:05.356Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -78.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $320.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $326.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $314.8K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 20, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Dalibor Svrcina and Tristan Boyer in the Tunis, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Dalibor Svrcina' if Dalibor Svrcina advances against Tristan Boyer.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Tristan Boyer' if Tristan Boyer advances against Dalibor Svrcina.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfe78…0319` — 17,132.944 shares
- `0x5fea…78b1` — 13,064.268 shares
- `0x547d…ea58` — 4,592.996 shares
- `0x710c…78ea` — 3,160.37 shares
- `0xe911…3d4e` — 2,719.998 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x6fc4…c89d` — 12,717.16 shares
- `0x507e…beae` — 5,759.022 shares
- `0x0e1b…ecaf` — 4,984.626 shares
- `0x10ff…5088` — 4,355.403 shares
- `0x38c2…d3a7` — 3,900.202 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 44 |
| Window start | 2026-05-11T23:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T17:02:07.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 95¢ |
| Net change | -34.9pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-svrcina-boyer-2026-05-13` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Tunis: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tristan Boyer — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T17:03:05.356Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-svrcina-boyer-2026-05-13.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*