# Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Vacherot

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 51% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 28 May 2026 00:05:36 GMT. 24h change -13.0pp, 24h volume $216.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-tabilo-vachero-2026-05-28
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-tabilo-vachero-2026-05-28
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jun 4, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-28T00:05:36.976Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **51¢** (51%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -13.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $216.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $241.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $187.9K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 4, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Valentin Vacherot in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Valentin Vacherot.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Alejandro Tabilo.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x76cf…599d` — 38,593.608 shares
- `0x1eaf…9bf0` — 33,408.173 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 16,187.578 shares
- `0xf917…b2bf` — 13,477.174 shares
- `0xa83f…b857` — 6,184.88 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x5d76…9168` — 89,639.37 shares
- `0xf5fe…e23d` — 21,884.258 shares
- `0xa661…af49` — 21,024.483 shares
- `0x83ed…03eb` — 17,820.14 shares
- `0x44a1…bd21` — 10,236.982 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 33 |
| Window start | 2026-05-26T17:00:12.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-28T00:04:03.000Z |
| Range | 51¢ → 65¢ |
| Net change | -6.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-tabilo-vachero-2026-05-28` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Vacherot — 51% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-28T00:05:36.976Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-tabilo-vachero-2026-05-28.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*