# Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 20:32:54 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $378.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-vallejo-faria-2026-05-04
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-vallejo-faria-2026-05-04
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T20:32:54.697Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -63.4pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $378.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $378.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $422.0K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Jaime Faria in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification, originally scheduled for May 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Jaime Faria.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Adolfo Vallejo.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x27b0…fc67` — 25,365.018 shares
- `0x38c2…d3a7` — 24,717.204 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 9,252.154 shares
- `0x507e…beae` — 9,080.999 shares
- `0x2ca1…ddcd` — 6,999.92 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x6fc4…c89d` — 32,960 shares
- `0x0997…c9f6` — 31,097 shares
- `0xa72a…93fd` — 10,314.81 shares
- `0x84ad…bfb7` — 8,065.94 shares
- `0x13f0…a50f` — 7,049.57 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 13 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T05:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T16:47:06.000Z |
| Range | 41¢ → 73¢ |
| Net change | -15.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-vallejo-faria-2026-05-04` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T20:32:54.697Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-vallejo-faria-2026-05-04.
```

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