# Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 66% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 28 May 2026 13:47:36 GMT. 24h change -7.0pp, 24h volume $847.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-vallejo-kouame-2026-05-28
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-vallejo-kouame-2026-05-28
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jun 4, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-28T13:47:36.312Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **66¢** (66%) |
| Δ 1h | -3.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -7.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $847.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $857.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $66.8K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 4, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Moise Kouame in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Moise Kouame.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Moise Kouame' if Moise Kouame advances against Adolfo Vallejo.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 85%): Probability moved down 7.0pp in 24h with 12.7× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xb0da…f3f0` — 36,863.743 shares
- `0x1eaf…9bf0` — 18,999.83 shares
- `0x63a4…0091` — 13,754.427 shares
- `0xf67a…c80d` — 12,459.807 shares
- `0x363c…4463` — 12,079.987 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xfe78…0319` — 37,214.179 shares
- `0xd40d…a926` — 29,759.122 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 22,275.868 shares
- `0x2fa0…be6d` — 11,242.492 shares
- `0x1ab8…1b4a` — 11,028.241 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 46 |
| Window start | 2026-05-26T17:00:12.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-28T13:37:05.000Z |
| Range | 38¢ → 76¢ |
| Net change | -30.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-vallejo-kouame-2026-05-28` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame — 66% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-28T13:47:36.312Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-vallejo-kouame-2026-05-28.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*