# Abidjan 2: Niels Visker vs Michael Mmoh

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 02 May 2026 23:19:01 GMT. 24h change -50.0pp, 24h volume $276.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-visker-mmoh-2026-05-02
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-visker-mmoh-2026-05-02
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** May 9, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-02T23:19:01.466Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.2pp |
| Δ 24h | -50.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $276.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $276.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $298.2K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 9, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Niels Visker and Michael Mmoh in the Abidjan 2, originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 at 2:30PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Niels Visker' if Niels Visker advances against Michael Mmoh.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Michael Mmoh' if Michael Mmoh advances against Niels Visker.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 82%): Probability moved down 50.0pp in 24h with 0.9× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfe78…0319` — 27,523.227 shares
- `0x0f8e…3082` — 8,016 shares
- `0x507e…beae` — 7,880.654 shares
- `0x122b…9885` — 5,473 shares
- `0x8e8c…65dd` — 5,013.8 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2005…75ea` — 24,212.895 shares
- `0x3555…ba40` — 23,457.76 shares
- `0xb595…5922` — 13,488.31 shares
- `0x9cb4…8285` — 5,350.907 shares
- `0x5912…6f45` — 3,795.68 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 26 |
| Window start | 2026-05-01T23:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-02T23:18:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 53¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-visker-mmoh-2026-05-02` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Abidjan 2: Niels Visker vs Michael Mmoh — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-02T23:19:01.466Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-visker-mmoh-2026-05-02.
```

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