# Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aleksandar Vukic vs Patrick Kypson

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 06 May 2026 18:14:03 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $307.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-vukic-kypson-2026-05-06
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-vukic-kypson-2026-05-06
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-06T18:14:03.814Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $307.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $307.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $413.1K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Vukic and Patrick Kypson in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 6, 2026 at 9:30AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Vukic' if Aleksandar Vukic advances against Patrick Kypson.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Patrick Kypson' if Patrick Kypson advances against Aleksandar Vukic.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5268…135d` — 13,356.673 shares
- `0xba8c…e77d` — 13,000 shares
- `0x64c5…d255` — 12,722 shares
- `0x3555…ba40` — 9,745.96 shares
- `0xbbf9…f888` — 8,145.124 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x9a8c…ba13` — 9,306.355 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 8,701.486 shares
- `0xcf6c…7e66` — 7,163.955 shares
- `0x5aa9…febe` — 5,925 shares
- `0x1df2…89a0` — 5,777.348 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 21 |
| Window start | 2026-05-05T23:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-06T18:13:06.000Z |
| Range | 24¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +74.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-vukic-kypson-2026-05-06` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aleksandar Vukic vs Patrick Kypson — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-06T18:14:03.814Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-vukic-kypson-2026-05-06.
```

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