# Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Coleman Wong

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 03 May 2026 07:56:31 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $234.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-walton-wong-2026-05-03
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-walton-wong-2026-05-03
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-03T07:56:31.839Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $234.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $234.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $495.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Coleman Wong in the Jiujiang, originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 12:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Adam Walton' if Adam Walton advances against Coleman Wong.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Coleman Wong' if Coleman Wong advances against Adam Walton.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x38c2…d3a7` — 16,511.589 shares
- `0x1de3…a1fa` — 10,555.463 shares
- `0x7402…8020` — 10,302.59 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 6,158.478 shares
- `0x0d30…5f85` — 2,714.05 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x6fc4…c89d` — 19,022 shares
- `0xd218…b5c9` — 11,323.48 shares
- `0x9ad6…4251` — 10,546.78 shares
- `0xdc87…ea3b` — 7,999.986 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 3,016.675 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 22 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T11:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-03T07:56:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 52¢ |
| Net change | -46.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-walton-wong-2026-05-03` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Coleman Wong — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-03T07:56:31.839Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-walton-wong-2026-05-03.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*