# Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper de Jong

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 40% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 25 May 2026 14:26:16 GMT. 24h change +0.5pp, 24h volume $8.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/atp-wawrink-jong-2026-05-25
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/atp-wawrink-jong-2026-05-25
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jun 1, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-25T14:26:16.071Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **40¢** (40%) |
| Δ 1h | +1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $8.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $9.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $105.6K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 1, 2026

**Source:** https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Stan Wawrinka and Jesper de Jong in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Stan Wawrinka' if Stan Wawrinka advances against Jesper de Jong.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Jesper de Jong' if Jesper de Jong advances against Stan Wawrinka.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x187a…a22b` — 144,508.222 shares
- `0x5ba6…0f07` — 21,375.648 shares
- `0x1136…0c2e` — 20,000 shares
- `0xa5eb…93bf` — 9,263.152 shares
- `0x9d8a…5201` — 5,499.983 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x44a1…bd21` — 40,000 shares
- `0x780a…84f0` — 37,494.633 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 30,272.012 shares
- `0x5bec…b215` — 23,774.55 shares
- `0x84cb…28ad` — 15,844.405 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 41 |
| Window start | 2026-05-23T23:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-25T14:10:04.000Z |
| Range | 4¢ → 44¢ |
| Net change | -40.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=atp-wawrink-jong-2026-05-25` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper de Jong — 40% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-25T14:26:16.071Z from https://orrery.me/markets/atp-wawrink-jong-2026-05-25.
```

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