# Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 99% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 25 May 2026 01:45:04 GMT. 24h change +0.7pp, 24h volume $7.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/bitcoin-above-68k-on-may-25-2026
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-68k-on-may-25-2026
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** May 25, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-25T01:45:04.963Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **99¢** (99%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.7pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $7.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $26.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $35.8K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 25, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
> 
> Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
> 
> Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 14h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xb7cd…6827` — 26,382 shares
- `0x6e1d…d0fa` — 8,542.126 shares
- `0x7336…1f7b` — 5,450.38 shares
- `0x985b…24d6` — 4,500 shares
- `0x9a67…46e7` — 4,073.69 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xe157…51eb` — 64,164.116 shares
- `0xd980…5be0` — 15,000 shares
- `0x9b6b…9a8a` — 9,999.989 shares
- `0x4ffe…9f71` — 2,194.357 shares
- `0x7152…faac` — 2,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 154 |
| Window start | 2026-05-18T17:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-25T01:43:05.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=bitcoin-above-68k-on-may-25-2026` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25? — 99% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-25T01:45:04.963Z from https://orrery.me/markets/bitcoin-above-68k-on-may-25-2026.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*